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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

Read more

Industry News

Tokyo-based Electric Power Subsidiary partners with AP Solar in 400 MW Texas Solar Project

LCG, August 6, 2020—J-Power USA Development Co, a subsidiary of the Electric Power Development Co. headquartered in Tokyo, has joined a joint venture to develop a 400 MW Texas solar project.

AP Solar Holdings, a partnership between Avondale Solar LLC and Plus Renewable Technologies, has been developing the solar project.

The photovoltaic project, called Charged Solar, is planned for Refugio County. Construction is expected to begin in the second half of 2021, and the project slated to be online by 2023.

It will be J-Power’s second U.S. renewable project. The company also is developing a 350 MW project in Wharton County, Texas.

Charged Solar is located about 120 miles south of Houston and will be able to deliver to both South and Houston Zones in ERCOT, according to AP Solar Holdings.


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LCG Consulting of Los Altos, California was commissioned by Rohit Ogra, Co-Founder of AP Solar, to perform an economic analysis to assess the plant performance and congestion risks using LCG’s proprietary UPLAN Network Power Model and PLATO data model for ERCOT.
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